Reviewing 2020 NFL Predictions
Were these predictions spot on? Not really
Prediction: Buffalo, New England, Miami, New York Jets
Actual: Buffalo, Miami, New England, New York Jets
I said it was the Bills year. It was.
I wrote “This team could go 3-13 or 10-6 and I wouldn’t be surprised either way” and they finished 10-6. So there ya go.
At the same time, my prediction of the Patriots probably figuring out how to win 9 or 10 games and make the playoffs? Not so much.
At least the Jets are who we thought they were.
Prediction: Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati
Actual: Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland, Cincinnati
The Ravens being the #1 overall seed didn’t pan on due to a run of COVID and inexplicably poor play mid-season. But it’s still “Tampa or bust” and after dropping 404 rushing yards on the Bengals last week, they may be hitting their stride.
I predicted the Steelers would miss the playoffs. They didn’t, but they might be the worst 12-4 team I have ever seen.
“Is this finally the Browns year? I’ll believe it when I see it.” I believe it.
The Bengals are better than their record indicates. As long as Joe Burrow returns healthy, they will be much better next year.
Prediction: Houston, Tennessee, Indianapolis, Jacksonville
Actual: Tennessee, Indianapolis, Houston, Jacksonville
I had Tennessee as the #5 seed and the top wild-card. They are a #4 seed and the lowest division winner. So that was pretty close. They are also the last team I wanted the Ravens to play in the playoffs, for obvious reasons.
“I don’t think Philip Rivers is the answer in Indy this year.” Whoops
“The Texans are far and away the class of the AFC South and should easily win the South.” Pollsters had better predictions than this.
Nailed this one though. Trevor Lawrence, come on down!
Prediction: Kansas City, Las Vegas, Denver, Los Angeles
Actual: Kansas City, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Denver
To be the man you have to beat the man. The Chiefs are still the man.
I figured that this was the year for the Raiders. I predicted a return to the playoffs. I did not expect another mediocre finish. Jon Gruden, so far, is not paying dividends for this team.
“I’m not sure Tyrod Taylor is an improvement over Philip Rivers in the short-term, though he obviously is a bridge to rookie Justin Herbert.” Herbert could be a top-5 quarterback in a year or two, he’s that good. The Chargers cashiered head coach Anthony Lynn earlier this week, presumably to get ready to take the leap next year.
John Elway finally recognized that John Elway is what has been holding the Broncos back. So that’s something at least
Prediction: Dallas, Philadelphia or New York, New York or Philadelphia, Washington
Actual: Washington, New York, Dallas, Philadelphia
I wrote that the Cowboys were good enough to win the division only because “they’re just fortunate enough to play in the worst division in professional sports.” Well, that part was right at least. In my defense, had Dak Prescott not gotten hurt, they would have won the division.
Nailed the Giants and Eagles predictions though. Said neither were any good. They weren’t.
Washington however, not so much. “It’s very clear that this team is following the Jacksonville plan by tanking this year with hopes of getting a high pick (the #1 pick) next year.” As a reminder, this team hosts New Orleans this weekend for a playoff game. Though, realistically, I’m not sure how that helps them long-term. Especially since their quarterback situation blew up when Dwayne Haskins flaked out and got released.
Prediction: Minnesota, Green Bay, Chicago, Detroit
Actual: Green Bay, Chicago, Minnesota, Detroit
Remember when there was supposed to be a quarterback controversy regarding the drafting of Jordan Love? Yeah, nobody else in Green Bay does either.
“The Bears went 8-8 last year. The Bears, at best, will go 8-8 this year.” I had zero expectation that, in being right, that would somehow earn the Bears a wildcard spot. Somehow Mitchell Trubisky is the quarterback for a playoff team for the second time in three years.
“Yes, this is the Vikings year. “
Predicting that the Lions would be the Lions is always easy money. This team is the NFC’s version of the Jets.
Prediction: New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Carolina
Actual: New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Carolina, Atlanta
Had I know Drew Brees would have been injured, I would not have predicted the Saints to be the #1 overall seed. But they still managed to get the #2. No small feat.
The Bucs are who we thought they were going to be.
We can lump Carolina and Atlanta together because they are basically interchangeable. Nothing happening teams that need a reset.
Prediction: Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Arizona
Actual: Seattle, Los Angeles, Arizona, San Francisco
“Hard to believe it, but the Seahawks haven’t won the NFC West since 2016. This is the year they will come back”
The Rams still don’t look the team that blasted through the NFC a few years ago. I think they may have already peaked and that Jared Goff may not be the quarterback the Rams thought he was.
I said the Cardinals were another year away from seriously competing. But hey, they were eliminated from contention the last week of the season and 8-8 is where they *should* have netted out, and they did.
The 49ers were basically a MASH unit all year. I’m amazed they found 53 players to suit up on a weekly basis.
Eight of the fourteen teams I predicted to make the playoffs actually made it. I picked half of the eight division winners accurately. Maryland stands to make some money off of me once legal gambling finally gets launched….